Thursday, October 14, 2004

Yes campaign now start to lose their 'perceived' ground.

They never really had that ground, but with lies, spin and deceit they have deluded themselves and the press and a few members of the public that hey were winning.
As we have always said, as the public starts realising what they are actually getting, or rather not getting, with a regional assembly the polls will shift rapidly towards no. Our Poll Prediction has always been 60-65% No, 30-35% Yes since we began this two years ago.

The Journal
Floating voters hold home rule key

13th October 2004
It's all still to play for in the battle for North-East regional assemble votes, according to an exclusive Journal poll out today.
Just days before ballot papers go out in the regional assembly referendum, the poll - run in collaboration with both official campaigns - shows 36pc of those likely to take part will vote `No', with 28pc backing an assembly.
But with a further 36pc still undecided, pro-devolutionists believe they are still very much in the race to persuade people to vote "Yes".
The result is a dramatic shift from The Journal's last poll in May, when the `yes' camp enjoyed a 45pc-19pc lead.
Last night, Yes4theNorthEast said the margin of error in this poll - about 5pc - could explain the `no' side's lead.
And North East Says No chairman John Elliott refused to get carried away by the result, saying: "This poll shows that the referendum is up for grabs, and we are confident that our campaign will succeed."
Yes4theNorthEast chairman John Tomaney said: "Our task is to cover the region over the next 22 days and persuade the vast numbers of people who are still undecided on this issue to vote `yes'.
"We also need to ensure that people who are supporting the assembly return their ballot papers and vote `yes' as we know we can't afford to be complacent."
He added: "This poll is a curious one as it is at odds with others conducted recently. Previous polls have shown the `yes' vote consistently about two to one ahead of the `no' vote.
"When you consider the very small sample size and the small gap between the numbers voting `yes' and `no' the difference is explained entirely by the margin of error of around 5-6pc."
Nesno leaders were delighted to see their key campaign message resonate with voters.
When read the statement "A regional assembly will lead to more professional politicians and higher council tax bills", 51pc agreed, while 18pc disagreed, and 31pc admitted they did not know.
Mr Elliott said: "Not surprisingly, the message is proving a popular one because it adequately sums up what the people of the North-East are being offered."
Most members of the assembly are likely to be paid to work three days a week, though the linked local government reorganisation would see the number of councillors in Durham and Northumberland slashed.
When it was put to respondents that "without a strong voice and the ability to make its own decisions, the North-East will never get a fair deal", 42pc agreed, 35pc disagreed and 24pc said they did not know.
And asked if an assembly would improve their quality of life, 49pc said `no', 22pc thought it would, and 30pc said they did not know.
Mr Elliott said: "The `yes' campaign has two serious problems. The first is that the most important priorities for the people of the North-East, such as jobs, education and health, cannot be addressed by a regional assembly.
"Secondly, people do not believe that a regional assembly will benefit their own lives."
But Prof Tomaney countered: "This is a once in a lifetime opportunity to turn the fortunes of the region around.
"The `no' campaign admits that the North-East has problems but fails to provide a single solution.
"I would urge everyone to use their vote and think about what kind of a future we want for the North-East.
"We have been inundated with calls from people who want more information about the assembly, and our experience shows that when they hear the truth about what it can do, rather than the scare stories and propaganda tactics used by the `no' campaign, that they will be voting `yes'."

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

60% No vote in Sunderland I agree (the June Euro vote in Sunderland points to a massive anti-assembly vote) but not sure how it will split in Tyneside and Teesside. Likely to be closer. Too close for comfort!

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